Browsing Tag

UST real estate

Affordable Housing, Economics, Home Prices, Housing, Housing Trends, Minneapolis / St. Paul Housing, Residential Real Estate, Residential Real Estate Index, Twin Cities Real Estate

Rising Home Prices Are Creating Wealth For Twin Cities Homeowners

Traditional Median Sale Price Up $82,300 (43.8%) From Low Point in Feb 2012.

Rapidly rising median home sale prices have been a major source of wealth creation for homeowners since the low point in median home sale prices that occurred in February 2012. Since then median home sale prices in the Twin Cities have increased by $82,300, a gain of 43.8%. In April the median home sale price was $266,500 eclipsing the prerecession high water mark of $238,000 observed in July 2007. As has been noted before this rapid rate of increase has been fueled by the historically low availability of homes for sale coupled with improving economic conditions and relatively low mortgage rates. Another positive development is that in February 2012, 61.5% of all the sales in the metro area were distressed sales compared to the 3.3% that was observed this April. The percentage of distressed sales has since returned to pre-crash levels at less than 5%. The wealth creation effect of continued increases in home values will ripple throughout the economy as homeowners will be able use this newly created equity for investments or purchases.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

How long will this trend continue?

In the near term a rapid rise in interest/mortgage rates and/or an increase in inflation would begin to make homes in all price ranges less affordable for many potential homebuyers. A decrease in the number of qualified buyers would put a damper on the demand for homes, reducing the upward pressure on home prices. In the short term it appears that neither one of those scenarios is likely to occur. Until that happens expect to see the supply of homes for sale remain very low and annual price increases in the 6% to 8% range. As in the past the current shortage of homes for sale has been most acute in lower to moderately priced homes (See the table below)

                   At What Price Range is the Shortage of Homes for Sale the Greatest?
Price Range % of Homes Available For Sale in April 2018 % of Closed Sales in April 2018 Months Supply
Less than $200,000 13.6% 22.7% 0.9
$200,000 – $399,999 42.4% 57.0% 1.5
$400,000 – $599,999 23.6% 14.0% 3.5
More than $600,000 20.3% 6.1% 6.6
  Median Sale Price $266,500  

Market Summary

 Median sale prices increased 3.3% between March and April ($258,000 to $266,500 respectively). The Twin Cities housing market continues to a show strong year over year gains in sale prices, marking an 8.8% percent annual increase in April 2018. While this is great news for sellers, a continuation of this rate of increase is going to create affordability issues for some potential buyers since this rate of increase is much higher than the growth rate of area income. On the supply side in April 2018 there were only 9,100 homes available for sale, 24% less than the 11,964 that were available in April 2017. A high annual growth rate in median sale prices and historically low supply will continue to dominate the market.

The number of homes sold in April 2018 was 4,664 an increase of 15.5% compared to last month and a decrease of 4.6% compared to April 2017. At the end of April there was a 1.8 months supply of homes available for sale, In comparison in a normal, balanced market there is a 6-month supply. Distressed sales accounted for only 3.3% the recorded home sales in April, similar to percentages observed before the housing market crash in 2007. New listings in April were 7,325, a decrease from the 7,890 recorded in April 2017. The decrease in new listings indicates that the supply of home of homes for sale situation will continue to tight in the near future.

For more information, visit the Shenehon Center’s complete report for April 2018 at http://www.stthomas.edu/business/centers/shenehon/research/. The report is also available for free via email at hwtousley1@stthomas.edu.

Affordable Housing, Architecture & Design, Housing, Minneapolis / St. Paul Housing

Not just a building… But a home

A story of the Dorothy Day Center

In the beginning the Dorothy Day Center was meant as a training center, but because of a need in St. Paul seen by community members, Catholic Charities decided to help. It became a consistent resource for many homeless year round and soon had to turn people away due to space limitations.

Early last year, Catholic Charities of Saint Paul and Minneapolis announced the largest public-private partnership of its kind. Backed by broad support and funding from both public and private sources, the vision was for a new Dorothy Day Center – two buildings with temporary and permanent residence plus support structures to empower and dignify those in need.

In January 2017, Higher Ground St Paul opened its doors to a community in need. The 5 story building across from the Xcel Energy Center in downtown St Paul contains 193 single room and apartment style units. Already, these units are filled and assisted 473 people of all backgrounds from the elderly, veterans and young adults struggling to make ends meet.

Catholic Charities wanted to bring more dignity to their services in this renovation of the Dorothy Day Center. The new buildings include showers, storage lockers, and light meals. Some residents have said,

“Catholic charities is my backbone, they’re there to pick me up, they rescued me in a time when I needed them…”

– Markeus from room #327

“Catholic Charities is a blessing for everybody in need.”

– Camille Pasha

Phase 2 of the project is underway in St. Paul. The building will contain the Opportunity Center and Dorothy Day Residence, and the goal is to be up and running in the next 12 months. This building will serve for more daily services such as emergency housing, transition housing, a health clinic, mental health services center, education guidance, veteran services, and employment services ranging from training to job placement. Truly a place for the benefit of all community members.

In Minnesota, the Dorothy Day Place project is the largest public-private social services collaboration in history. Funded with the support of local and state government and private sector leaders, the Dorothy Day Place project is a unique real estate development helping those in need.

The Shenehon Center for Real Estate of the University of St. Thomas is dedicated to advancing public and private interest in real estate issues as a resource and platform to the commercial, residential and corporate real estate segments. To learn more, please visit the Shenehon Center site at www.stthomas.edu/centers/shenehon or email us at realestate@stthomas.edu

 

For more information:

https://dorothydaycampaign.org/

https://www.mprnews.org/story/2015/03/06/mpls-homeless-shelters

https://www.cctwincities.org/catholic-charities-reaches-private-fundraising-goal/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=371&v=_XlBAmkHCPo

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6sfMW2jcDy4

http://www.startribune.com/old-dorothy-day-homeless-shelter-demolished-to-make-room-for-new-catholic-charities-campus/444300843/

Home Prices, Housing, Housing Trends, Residential Real Estate Index

UST Housing Index – Housing shortages continue

The latest report, just published today by the Shenehon Center for Real Estate is not a significant shocker. Current trends of single family housing supply shortages continue. Herb Tousley, Director of the University of St. Thomas’ Shenehon Center for Real Estate, gave interesting insights this month. Many people have attributed the shortages to simple reasons such as increased demand due to millennials and generation X’ers beginning to settle down which are true, but Mr. Tousley brings up a point seemingly looked over, the recent actions of investment vehicles.

“Nationally, over the past five years, the single family rental home has become its own institutional asset class with over $50B invested Continue Reading

Commercial Real Estate, Executive Insight Series, Industry News, Twin Cities Real Estate

Executive Insight Series: Mike Ohmes

Discussion Topics

The CRE Cycle – Are we headed over the top?

Working in the new consolidated CRE environment

Mike Ohmes, Cushman & Wakefield

Executive Vice President, Brokerage

Earning an undergraduate Bachelor of Arts degree in economics and speech communications from Macalester College in St. Paul and an MBA from the Carlson School of Business at the University of Minnesota, Mike Ohmes has a wealth of commercial real estate experience from a broker to a manager.

Today as Executive Vice President Mike Ohmes is responsible for leading Cushman & Wakefield’s Transaction and Advisory Services business. This group includes the company’s Brokerage, Capital Markets and Real Estate Advisory.

Since joining the Cushman & Wakefield in 1991 as a broker in the office division, Ohmes consistently was among the top producers. He has received the company’s Offshore Club designation for his performance a total of 7 times (each year from 1993-1999). In 2000, Ohmes earned the company’s President’s Award for his outstanding contributions to the company, and in 2003, he was recognized by The Minneapolis/St. Paul Business Journal as one of their “40 Under Forty.”

The Shenehon Center for Real Estate is proud to present this opportunity to gain insights into the commercial real estate industry. Founded in 2000, the Shenehon Center for Real Estate looks to provide both resources and a public forum for real estate industry professionals and the public.

Executive Insight Series - Shenehon Center for Real Estate

When:

Tuesday, November 28th, 5:30PM

Where:

University of St Thomas, Minneapolis Campus

Shulze Hall, Room 127

Interested?

REGISTER HERE

 

 

Minneapolis / St. Paul Housing, Residential Real Estate, Residential Real Estate Index, Twin Cities Real Estate

UST Housing Index: “It’s Not Your Father’s Housing Market Anymore”

The September Residential Index report from the Shenehon Center for Real Estate came out last week. Mr. Tousley, director of the Shenehon Center, was not surprised by the continuation of the supply glut, but in this latest report, he pointed out that the housing market is now being driven by the Millennial generation and Generation Z. Some key takeaways,

  • Over half of home sales this year have been to people 36 years old or younger
  • Home price appreciation continues to outpace income growth
  • Inventory remains significantly below demand
  • Price and inventory are affecting the “typical” renter

As seen in Minneapolis, many major cities are being pressed by a combination of decreased household sizes, sociocultural trends for “more” space, and an influx of people coming to live in the cities not seen since the 1940’s. The report states, Millenials and Generation Z’ers while interested in buying Continue Reading

Affordable Housing, Development, Housing, Housing Trends, Minneapolis / St. Paul Housing

Affordable Housing (Part 2)

According to Minnesota Compass, 48.4 percent of Minneapolis households are overburdened by housing costs. To explain, these households pay more than 30% of their gross income towards housing. Just for reference, a house in Minneapolis is averaging around $200,000 which for a first time home buyer with 10 percent down payment amounts to a monthly mortgage around $1,400 including an estimates for coverages and taxes.

There are many factors affecting this overburdened number. According to a Minneapolis City Council housing report, the city’s current population [approx. 412,000] has not been this high since the 1970’s which is still lower than the peak seen in 1950 [reported 521,718]. Further exacerbating the issue is the fact that there are about the same amount of units today as in 1950 in conjunction with a decrease in average household size. In 1950, it was roughly 3.3 persons per household compared to today’s 2.3 persons per household.

The most recent residential housing report from the University of St. Thomas and the 2017 Housing Market Comprehensive Analysis by HUD, give evidence that the cost burden is a result of the simple economic principle of supply and demand. The influx of demand for housing within Minneapolis has increased the risk of displacement. Housing prices are up year over year and there remains record low vacancy levels of 4 percent. Talks with a political liaison, Mark Stenglein, and local developer and founder Bob Lux of Atalus, LLC, reinforced the challenges to affordable housing Continue Reading

Minnesota Real Estate Hall of Fame

Minnesota Hall of Fame Inductees Announced!!!

The time has come, the 2017 Hall of Fame inductees have been announced. Congratulations to Ralph Burnet, Jack Rice, and Howard Shenehon!

Join in the recognition of the accomplishments Burnet, Rice and Shenehon have done for Minnesota real estate. Members of the Minnesota Real Estate Hall of Fame are chosen for their outstanding business performance, high standards of ethics and community activities. The three new members are:

 

Register Today

Ralph Burnet

Ralph began his real estate career at Bermel Smaby Realtors. After leaving Bermel Smaby Realtors, he started his own realty company, Burnet Gagner Realty and built it to the largest in the Twin Cities. In 1983, Burnet merged his company with Merrill Lynch and for the next 7 years Burnet served as its Eastern Regional President. But when Merrill Lynch Real Estate was sold to Prudential in 1990, Burnet and his partner Dar Reedy bought back the Minnesota-based company. In 1996, Burnet expanded into the Chicago market, merging with Prudential Preferred Properties of Chicago. By 1998, Burnet Realty had grown to the 4th largest residential brokerage in the United States, and expanded though merging with the Coldwell Banker name. Today, Coldwell Banker Burnet is one of Continue Reading

Affordable Housing, Development, Economics, Home Prices, Housing, Minneapolis / St. Paul Housing, Residential Real Estate

Affordable Housing: Misconceptions (Part 1)

Affordable housing is and has been a buzzword in the real estate industry for years. It carries many misconceptions. Let’s clear up these misconceptions before going further.

  • First, affordable housing is not typically affordable to everyone. It is affordable in that rent or sale value is reduced from market rates in order to allow individuals and families below the median income level to not be “overburdened” by rent or mortgage payments.
  • Second, the majority of people assisted HAVE jobs and ARE productive members of their communities in which they reside. The idea that affordable housing induces crime and the lowering of community home values, to name a few, is false.
  • Third, affordable housing is just like any other rental or purchase agreement with the addition of a historical income check. Owners and tenants undergo credit checks and asked of employment. Just in case you weren’t convinced when I stated earlier that a majority of affordable housing owners and tenants are employed.

 

So, why is this topic being brought up? Of almost 116 million households surveyed by the 2013 American Housing Survey, 36 percent are by definition overburdened by housing costs. To be overburdened by Federal government definition, a household must pay more than 30 percent of their yearly income. There are multiple perspectives to even this number, but before “Part 2” of this discussion, we ask the reader to do some research.

Do you think more affordable housing is needed? Is it a policy issue? Is it a supply and demand issue?

 

Our reason to talk about affordable housing is simple. With more than a third of the United States overburdened by housing costs and as a part of the University of St. Thomas, the Shenehon Center for Real Estate serves as a resource to the commercial, industrial, residential and corporate segments of real estate industry and the community to advance the public interest in real estate issues and to advance the common good.

Economics, Housing, Housing Trends, Minneapolis / St. Paul Housing, Real Estate Trends, Residential Real Estate, Residential Real Estate Index, Twin Cities Real Estate, Uncategorized

Sight-Unseen Home Buying: Trend or Consequence

Twenty years ago, virtual tours and 3D graphics were mainly science fiction in movies like The Fifth Element, and a “sight-unseen” purchase literally meant a buyer had no experience of the property other than static photographs. Buyers were in essence blindfolded. Today, 3D and virtual technologies have become a reality. They are able to bring a property experience to the “sight-unseen” purchase. Local Minneapolis real estate broker Aleksa Montpetit of Downtown Resource Group noted this ingress of technology into the real estate industry, and how it has given realtors a new tool to present properties. Montpetit, who has personally sold 3 properties sight-unseen in the last year, said the Minneapolis market has recently seen buyers more willing to at least offer sight-unseen.

An article posted in the Wall Street Journal by Katy McLaughlin cites increases in sight-unseen purchases are nationally becoming more common. The annual Redfin survey showed 33 percent of those surveyed said they had made at least an offer on a house “sight-unseen” in the last year. However, this survey did not include the Minneapolis market.

Both Scott Parkin of Verve realty and Scott Stabeck of Sotheby International agreed with Montpetit that potential buyers are more willing to make offers “sight-unseen,” and they added Continue Reading

Business Valuation, Development, Investment Real Estate

Do you need some leisure time?

Last week the Minnesota Business Journal reported, Lutsen Resort, a staple of Minnesota tourism for over 125 years, went on the market for just under 10 million dollars. However, it is not the first resort in the Great North to go on the market recently. The Star Tribune reports Gunflint Lodge sold for over 6 million dollars and Superior Shores and Resort, just south of Lutsen, in Two Harbors is also currently on the market.

Is this a trend? Why are resorts going on the market? Should consumers be worried about their options for North Shore leisure?

Herb Tousley, of the University of St. Thomas’ Shenehon Center for Real Estate, commented that these resorts often times require a “hands-on”  approach to management of the site. He also noted, “due to this approach, many owners see the opportunity to sell, in what they perceive to be, a high value market in order to exit the business.”

Statistics from the U.S. Travel Association show that domestic leisure travel is up from 2 billion trips in 2007 to 2.28 billion trips reported in 2016. More specifically, the Minnesota average household income has returned to pre-recession levels at $79,893. The private sector employment numbers (FRED) also seem to indicate the economy is in relatively good health. These indicators are great for resorts and the hospitality industry in general. Even with the ominous question of, “are we due for an economic adjustment?” It is not a predictable event. From general market signs, a resort may be an investment for some leisure.

 

Shenehon Center for Real Estate has been enabled Graduate level Business and an Undergraduate Major program in real estate for more than 15 years. The University of St. Thomas is dedicated to creating leaders who are morally responsible, think critically, act wisely, and work skillfully to advance the common good.